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Protesters in Khartoum celebrate the ouster of Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir

Mediation helps start a fragile transition in Sudan

  • Sudan’s dire economic straits doomed the 30-year regime of President Omar al-Bashir
  • After his ouster, civil-military tensions continue and could plunge the country into chaos
  • So far, outside mediation has supported a transition to civilian rule, but regional players may still favor the military

Bread riots that began in December 2018 ultimately toppled the man who had ruled Sudan for 30 years. President Omar al-Bashir (1989-2019) was forced out in a military coup after failing to contain the ever-expanding protest movement. At first sight, his fate seems identical with many other African strongmen – Abdelaziz Bouteflika of Algeria, Hosni Mubarak of Egypt or Zine El Abidine Ben Ali of Tunisia – whose political destinies were settled in the streets.

However, as happened with some of Mr. al-Bashir’s peers, the popular mobilization against him was part of a more complex power dynamic. Sudan, like Egypt and Algeria, is a large and populous state divided along ethnic, religious and political lines. Political stability was only made possible by the personalized leadership of a repressive, highly militarized state.

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 Teresa Nogueira Pinto
The regime’s economic failure explains the scope and durability of the protests
read more about it in the report
What's inside
  • Sudan’s dire economic straits doomed the 30-year regime of President Omar al-Bashir
  • After his ouster, civil-military tensions continue and could plunge the country into chaos
  • So far, outside mediation has supported a transition to civilian rule, but regional players may still favor the military
Who will benefit?
  • Report is targeted to the decision makers in cross country manufacturing – suppliers, manufacturers, logistics.
  • Also considered useful for the administrative university facilities, to better understand the possibe effects of current decisions.
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