Moscow, Dec. 17, 2015: Screens show Russian President Vladimir Putin during his annual news conference; much of the focus was on Russia’s involvement in Syria and Ukraine (source: dpa)

Global trends: 2016 and 2017 will set Putin’s future

The outlook for Russia this year is more complex and harder to predict than at any point since President Vladimir Putin took power 16 years ago. Mr. Putin has ruthlessly ratcheted up the stakes in his drive to ensure that Russia is once again recognized as a great power with a voice in global affairs that cannot be ignored. The coming 12 to 18 months will be decisive in determining whether he will succeed, and if so, at what price.

<i>This report is part of GIS’s “Global Trends” series, which aims to forecast big-picture scenarios that will shape the world this year and beyond.</i>

The result of Russia’s military entry into the Syrian quagmire will...

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Professor Stefan Hedlund
A further erosion of living standards could even cause such strong social disruptions at home that Mr. Putin himself may come under serious threat
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