Search Results for: chechyna
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Pawel Kowal: A Central European perspective on EU strategic autonomy
Europe’s strategic vulnerabilities will not be rapidly overcome. But they need to be addressed, or a rift will grow between European countries.
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Paul Schwennesen: The U.S. Republican schism on Ukraine
The current American debate over funding for Ukraine’s war effort exposes a fundamental divide among conservatives, with potentially dire consequences for Kyiv.
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Stefan Hedlund: Kadyrov’s Chechnya poses a growing risk for Putin
In Ramzan Kadyrov, Russian President Vladimir Putin has found someone who can both keep Chechnya under control and supply ruthless troops for conflicts in Ukraine and Syria. But the Kremlin’s hold over its Chechen warlord is tenuous and risks backfiring in the long term. Acting now could have dire consequences as well.
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Pawel Kowal: Chechnya: A litmus test of Russia’s power
The history of the Chechen Wars and the Kadyrov family’s evolving role point to potential power shifts and challenges for Russia.
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Stefan Hedlund: The Kremlin’s Chechen factor
The latest violent chapter in the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh has rebalanced geopolitical realities in the South Caucasus. Turkey has made significant progress in expanding its role there. If radical Islam spills over into Chechnya, Russia could face a serious security risk.
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Paul Schwennesen: Eyewitness to war: Why Chechens fight for Ukraine
While Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov’s followers are loyal to the Kremlin, other Chechens see the war as an opportunity to defeat Russia and regain independence.
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Pawel Kowal: Could Russia disintegrate?
Expectations that June’s revolt would lead to a regime change were misplaced. Instead, the Russian state will enter a phase of slow decay.
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Stefan Hedlund: Scenarios for a postwar Russia: Survival or collapse?
As the war in Ukraine continues to turn against Moscow, prospects emerge of Russian state collapse or even civil conflict.
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Stefan Hedlund: The collapse of the Russian military machine
Putin-era attempts at modernizing Russia’s armed forces have failed. The disastrous battlefield results in Ukraine signal profound systemic and geopolitical problems for the Russian state.
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Stanislaw Koziej: Putin’s next gamble in Ukraine
If the past is any indication, Russia is likely to escalate its war in Ukraine, but how far will Vladimir Putin go?
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Stefan Hedlund: Moldova’s future is tied to Russia’s war in Ukraine
The tiny nation between Romania and Ukraine wants to join the European Union and regain control of its Kremlin-backed Transnistria region. Kyiv’s triumph could advance both aims.
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Stefan Hedlund: Russia’s ground forces: No return to large tank armies
Moscow’s propaganda touting the scale of its military maneuvers notwithstanding, the country does not command enough ground forces to defeat NATO. It also does not have the demographics to expand its army. However, its military planners demonstrate an impressive dexterity in finding ways to address the defense needs of Russia.
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Pawel Kowal: Russia’s attempt to build a Third Empire
While the Kremlin’s war in Ukraine has been a disaster, the ideology that caused it has proved astonishingly popular and durable.
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Svyatoslav Kaspe: Why Russia’s political regime is not changing, and how it can
Although predictions of systemic transformation in Russia have invariably proved wrong, sooner or later, fundamental changes in the current political regime must occur. Recent events suggest that they may start with a crucial yet often unappreciated element of the power structure.
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Stefan Hedlund: The future of Russia’s Special Operations Forces
Russia’s special forces have gained prominence in recent years. Now they are training to engage their NATO counterparts. Though Russian special forces are still playing a game of technological catch-up, they are a tool the Kremlin is increasingly likely to use.
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Paul Schwennesen: Eyewitness to war: Assessing Ukraine’s counteroffensive
How one attack revealed the strengths, weaknesses and massive losses on both sides. Only incremental advances by Ukraine are likely through the winter.
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Lord David Alton of Liverpool: A high-stakes game of snakes and ladders
Russia’s war on Ukraine is a last stand for the international rules-based order. The West will need to rally fierce and unwavering support for the defender and global freedoms to prevail.
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Evgeny Gontmakher: Russia’s uneven economic development
Russia’s regions vary widely in terms of their economic and social structures. There are five broad clusters of development, from the rich big cities to the poor rural areas. One thing unites them, however: the central authorities’ increasing control over their affairs.
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Evgeny Gontmakher: Assessing the shadow economy in Russia
While it is difficult to precisely assess the size of Russia’s informal sector, most experts agree that it accounts for a sizable percentage of the country’s economic activity. The phenomenon is rooted in long-standing structural issues that could be addressed by reforms.
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Federica Saini Fasanotti: Will Ukraine shift to an irregular war?
The fighting in Ukraine could morph into asymmetric warfare, which would put the Russian forces at a disadvantage.
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Junhua Zhang: China-Israel relations at a crossroads
In the aftermath of the most recent fighting in Gaza, China loudly expressed its support for the Palestinian side. However, its extensive investments in Israel belie these statements. Now Israel could come under pressure for transferring technology to the Chinese.
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Karl-Peter Schwarz: Lionizing and sanctioning Russian artists
The bureaucratic rush to sanction the Russian artists who support the Kremlin is criticized in Western cultural circles, but the reasoning is flawed.
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Pawel Kowal: A decisive winter of war ahead
Russia’s war on Ukraine may be entering its endgame. If the West accelerates its support for Kyiv, the chances of victory – and securing postwar Ukraine as an integral part of the West – will rise.
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Zvi Mazel: The Muslim Brotherhood’s stealth expansion in Europe
The Muslim Brotherhood has long been establishing networks in Europe. Governments have been slow to react, but recent terror attacks could lead to a harder stance from EU leaders.
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Tatiana L. Palermo: The future of food
The future of food production is central to dealing with challenges of a growing world population. Introducing more crop biodiversity requires rethinking outdated governmental policies. Future success hinges on international cooperation, especially with China and India.
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Paul Schwennesen: Eyewitness to war: Assessing the Ukrainian capacity to fight
The intensity of Ukraine’s resistance to Russia will likely remain strong for at least another year, but worrisome problems need to be solved.
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Stefan Hedlund: Norway and Russia clash over Svalbard
The Svalbard archipelago has become an unexpected source of tension between Norway and Russia, with Moscow accusing Oslo of restricting access to the islands. The two countries could opt to collaborate more closely and jointly explore oil and gas resources in the region.
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Rudolf G. Adam: Russia: Adversary or enemy?
Despite Ukraine’s success on the battlefield, the West will have to contend with Russia’s Putin — and Putinism — for years to come.
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DOSSIER: Ukraine in Focus
Ukraine in Focus provides commentary on the conflict and outlooks for various facets of the crisis. GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein explores the long-term view in detailed scenarios for Europe and beyond.