GIS Dossier: Leadership Challenges 2020 summary
Burundi: Turmoil ahead?
In May 2020, President Pierre Nkurunziza will step down and the successor chosen by the regime will likely become the new leader of Burundi. However, these developments could trigger significant upheavals. Armed militias operating from Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo could decide to interfere, especially if the ...
Near-term scenarios for the U.S.-Iran competition
Reports that the recent U.S. and Iranian attacks against each other are leading to war significantly exaggerate the situation. Each country’s moves are part of long-standing strategies focused on influencing the other’s behavior. As such, similar activities can be expected in the near future. A military conflict, however, would benefit ...
Oman’s new ruler pledges to fulfill his predecessor’s legacy
The peaceful power transition that followed the death of Oman’s long-reigning sultan, Qaboos bin Said, is a testimony to the stability of the Al Said regime, especially in such a volatile region. However, the new sultan, Haitham bin Tariq, will face significant challenges if he wants to turn the country ...
Hidden agenda behind the Global Asset Registry project
A global asset registry (GAR) project aims to pinpoint the true owners – past, present and future – of all types of wealth now shielded from tax officials in safe havens across the globe. The project appears to be technically feasible. It is pursued by a group of tax specialists ...
Estonia outperforms the EU
Estonia is one of Europe’s star performers in terms of economic growth and development, technological advancement, freedom and education. It faces three big dilemmas: defensive vulnerability, the non-integration of its Russian minority and rising nationalism. Yet the country seems well-placed to meet all three of these challenges.
Modern Monetary Theory: The future of money?
Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has become a popular philosophy among those who would have the government spend more. Traditional economics holds that MMT would lead to inflation, yet its proponents argue that the orthodoxy no longer applies. Though attractive for many across the political spectrum, it stems from some basic ...
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The long ‘bridge’ of carbon capture and storage technology
There is no single magic bullet for turning global energy consumption patterns toward a cleaner future. Greening energy is not just about developing alternative sources of energy or ending the fossil-fuel era. Any technology that aims to reduce the environmental ...
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GIS on target predictions
Islamic State’s next target: Europe
GIS experts have frequently mentioned that once Islamic State (also known as ISIS or Daesh) was defeated in Iraq and Syria, it would not go away. Instead, it would spread its message – and send its fighters – across the world, with a special focus on Europe. With the organization claiming responsibility for a recent terror attack in London, those predictions seem to be coming true. As GIS expert Dr. Bernard Siman explained in a July 2017 report, one “child of Daesh” would comprise “the ongoing blowback of foreign fighters, especially from Syria, into Europe, which poses a sustained, long-term terrorist threat to mainland Europe itself.”
After Mosul and Raqqa, risks multiply
As the battle for Mosul concludes, the battle for Raqqa is entering its initial phase. From a military perspective, the fall of these twin bastions of Daesh was never in doubt. But tactical victories can only be turned into long-term strategic gains if a political process is put in place. ...
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Geopolitics are back on the agenda
Due to the fast changing international order geopolitics are back on the agenda. I believe that GIS makes a great contribution with analyses and insights that should help businesses and governments developing their responses.