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UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson speaks to Parliament

Opinion: Brexit and ‘peak populism’ in Europe

The UK Parliament’s moves to block Brexit from occurring without a deal on October 31, 2019, has prompted some to say that Europe has reached “peak populism.” As the British case shows, though, societies remain polarized and democratic rules continue to be bent. What happens next in the UK may indicate what direction politics in Europe will take.

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GIS on target predictions

Xi-Trump meetings amid tensions

Throughout the ups and downs of the U.S.-China trade dispute, GIS has maintained that the two countries would eventually come to an agreement. We stuck with that prediction even after the November 2018 APEC meeting, when rhetoric on both sides became very heated. In a comment that same month, GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein posited that the antagonistic rhetoric used at the summit could allow both countries “to climb down and make a deal.” He noted that U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had agreed to meet face-to-face at the G20 summit, “showing their intention to come to an understanding.” Such meetings would become more frequent, he predicted. The GIS founder was right on all counts: the two presidents declared a “truce” in the trade dispute (though it was short-lived, also as Prince Michael predicted). More meetings have taken place. Presidents Trump and Xi met again at the June 2019 G20 summit in Osaka, Japan, where yet another truce was declared.

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Geopolitics are back on the agenda

Due to the fast changing international order geopolitics are back on the agenda. I believe that GIS makes a great contribution with analyses and insights that should help businesses and governments developing their responses.

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