Sevastopol residents show their support for Russia, March 2014

Unraveling the Crimean knot

  • Russia’s decision to annex Crimea in 2014 was a mistake, but it cannot be undone
  • With support for independence at 30 percent or less, another referendum is pointless
  • Better options would be a Gibraltar-like truce or a package deal including Donbas

Two years ago, I argued in GIS that the only way to resolve the Crimean problem was to respect the will of its people. To any sensible person, it should be obvious that preserving the status quo on the peninsula is unacceptable, while restoring the status quo ante is impossible. 

This leaves a very narrow range of possibilities.

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Dr. Svyatoslav Kaspe
Ukrainian sovereignty or a supervised transition were never taken seriously
read more about it in the report
What's inside
  • Russia’s decision to annex Crimea in 2014 was a mistake, but it cannot be undone
  • With support for independence at 30 percent or less, another referendum is pointless
  • Better options would be a Gibraltar-like truce or a package deal including Donbas
Who will benefit?
  • Report is targeted to the decision makers in cross country manufacturing – suppliers, manufacturers, logistics.
  • Also considered useful for the administrative university facilities, to better understand the possibe effects of current decisions.
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