Barbed wire near Serbia's border with Kosovo

The geopolitics of a Kosovo-Serbia deal

  • The unresolved Kosovo-Serbia dispute is more than a bilateral or regional issue
  • The U.S., Russia and the EU each propose different geopolitical resolutions
  • Alarmed at how EU-sponsored talks have stalled, France and Germany are intervening
  • Their mediation could bring quick closure or delay Balkan EU entry by a decade

To paraphrase Churchill’s famous quip, the Balkans have always produced more problems than they can solve. The most recent demonstration of this tendency is the rocky normalization process between Kosovo and Serbia. This local Balkans issue is having a surprisingly large geopolitical impact.

Until recently, it had been assumed this holdover problem from the early 20th century would be resolved in the second decade of the 21st. But three concerted efforts by the international community – the Rambouillet talks (1999), the Vienna negotiations (2005-2006) and the Ahtisaari Plan (2007) – failed to yield a solution acceptable to both parties. The ongoing Brussels Dialogue (2012-2019), mediated by the European Union, has also not produced results. With the whole process now in question, it appears likely that no agreement will be reached by the end of this year. Even 2020-2021 looks doubtful as a closure date.

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Professor Dr. Blerim Reka
Berlin and Paris looked critically at the European Commission’s willingness to consider border changes
read more about it in the report
What's inside
  • The unresolved Kosovo-Serbia dispute is more than a bilateral or regional issue
  • The U.S., Russia and the EU each propose different geopolitical resolutions
  • Alarmed at how EU-sponsored talks have stalled, France and Germany are intervening
  • Their mediation could bring quick closure or delay Balkan EU entry by a decade
Who will benefit?
  • Report is targeted to the decision makers in cross country manufacturing – suppliers, manufacturers, logistics.
  • Also considered useful for the administrative university facilities, to better understand the possibe effects of current decisions.
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