A Kuomintang supporter waves Taiwanese flags at an election rally

The future of China-Taiwan relations

  • Taiwan is very economically dependent on China
  • A growing number of Taiwanese see their country as separate from China
  • These two trends will determine the cross-strait relationship going forward
  • For now, any sudden moves by either side is unlikely

There are two competing narratives about where Taiwan is headed in its relationship with China. One rests on economic and cultural determinism and points toward eventual unification. The other is derived from a stubborn resistance to those same factors and suggests indefinite political separation. How these competing forces play out in Taiwan’s politics and how the Chinese respond will dictate the shape the relationship takes.

Economically, Taiwan is heavily dependent on China, where 40 percent of its exports go. Though there has been a decline since a peak in 2010, Taiwan still pumps more than 40 percent of its international investment into the Middle Kingdom.

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 Walter Lohman
If the KMT were to win most of the mayoral races, it will be considered a vote against the DPP’s approach to China
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What's inside
  • Taiwan is very economically dependent on China
  • A growing number of Taiwanese see their country as separate from China
  • These two trends will determine the cross-strait relationship going forward
  • For now, any sudden moves by either side is unlikely
Who will benefit?
  • Report is targeted to the decision makers in cross country manufacturing – suppliers, manufacturers, logistics.
  • Also considered useful for the administrative university facilities, to better understand the possibe effects of current decisions.
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