As Islamic State begins to lose ground in Syria and Iraq, regional and global powers are trying to carve out their own spheres of influence. The struggle is less military than political, and will hinge on negotiations to establish workable solutions, federal and otherwise, in both countries. But managing the endgame over the next 12-18 months will be tricky, and eradicating the spirit that Daesh represents close to impossible.

<i>This report is part of GIS’s “Global Trends” series, which aims to forecast big-picture scenarios that will shape the world this year and beyond. </i>

One of the successes of Islamic State (IS, or Dae...

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Professor Dr. Amatzia Baram
MacFarland will bank on his credibility with local leaders to recruit Sunni-Arab tribes for the fight against IS
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