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Mexico’s President Enrique Pena Nieto welcomes U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump

Beyond hegemony: the next U.S. president and Latin America

  • Latin American democracies now have will and ability to act as free agents
  • New U.S. administration will have to accept more consensual model of relations
  • Opening to Cuba may help defuse anti-U.S. sentiment, which is still strong

The inflammatory rhetoric directed by Donald Trump against Latin American immigrants, especially Mexicans, has led many people to assume that relations between the United States and Latin America would change dramatically if he is elected in November. Nothing could be further from the truth.

Many in Latin America are appalled by Trump’s racism and xenophobia, as well as by his crass focus on “deals” as the essence of international affairs. Even more are made nervous by his obsession with Russian President Vladimir Putin and the concept of “strong” leadership. Yet the dynamics of relations between the U.S. and the rest of the hemisphere depend less on personality and atmospherics than on slow, long-range shifts in the balance of power.

For the past century, these tectonic movements have weakened U.S. hegemony while strengthening the will and capacity of other countries to assert themselves. Latin America’s new sense of community is unlikely to be rolled back no matter who is elected to the White House. Moreover, two very recent developments in the international system – the rise of terrorism and the emergence of China – will only further dilute U.S. dominance.

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Dr. Joseph S. Tulchin
China’s emergence as a world power created a decade of abundance in Latin America
read more about it in the report
What's inside
  • Latin American democracies now have will and ability to act as free agents
  • New U.S. administration will have to accept more consensual model of relations
  • Opening to Cuba may help defuse anti-U.S. sentiment, which is still strong
Who will benefit?
  • Report is targeted to the decision makers in cross country manufacturing – suppliers, manufacturers, logistics.
  • Also considered useful for the administrative university facilities, to better understand the possibe effects of current decisions.
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