Kim Jong-un and other North Korean leaders watch a missile test in November 2017

2018 Global Outlook: North Korea and the U.S.-China-Russia triangle

  • Tensions in Korea are straining Beijing-Moscow-Washington relations
  • An unexpected shock could set the big three nuclear powers against each other
  • This situation lays bare Europe’s inherent weakness

The increasingly bellicose standoff between United States President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is sending shock waves throughout the global security system. The ultimate danger is that the confrontation will be pushed to the point of a nuclear conflict. While this risk must still be considered small, the brinkmanship is already causing considerable collateral damage, playing into the triangular relationship between the three superpowers that was a defining feature of the Cold War. The baseline scenario for 2018 is that developments will follow a trajectory defined by three well-established features. Deviations will result only from substantial shocks.

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Professor Stefan Hedlund
Chinese and Russian militaries responded to what they perceive as American escalation
read more about it in the report
What's inside
  • Tensions in Korea are straining Beijing-Moscow-Washington relations
  • An unexpected shock could set the big three nuclear powers against each other
  • This situation lays bare Europe’s inherent weakness
Who will benefit?
  • Report is targeted to the decision makers in cross country manufacturing – suppliers, manufacturers, logistics.
  • Also considered useful for the administrative university facilities, to better understand the possibe effects of current decisions.
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